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Oscars 2022 predictions – who will win and who should win? | Peter Bradshaw

Can Smith pip Cumberbatch? Will Campion steal the show? And what about Bond? Our critic weighs up who will leave the Dolby theatre with a gong

Best picture

Will win: The Power of the Dog
Should win: Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight

Best director

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Céline Sciamma for Petite Maman

Clapping fatigue, Covid smooches and sprayed canapés: inside the Oscar nominees luncheon

Best actor

Will win: Will Smith for King Richard
Should win: Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Oscar Isaac for The Card Counter

Best actress

Will win: Jessica Chastain for The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should win: Olivia Colman for The Lost Daughter
Shoulda been a contender: Rachel Sennott for Shiva Baby

Jessica Chastain …The Eyes of Tammy Faye. Photograph: Searchlight Pictures/Moviestore/Shutterstock

Best supporting actor

Will win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Woody Norman for C’mon C’mon

Best supporting actress

Will win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Should win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Shoulda been a contender: June Squibb for The Humans

Best animated feature

Will win: Encanto
Should win: Flee
Shoulda been a contender: Belle (dir Mamoru Hosoda)

Why The Power of the Dog should win the best picture Oscar

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Dune
Should win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been a contender: Rebecca Hall for Passing

Best original screenplay

Will win: Belfast
Should win: Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: Ron and Russell Mael for Annette

Best documentary

Will win: Summer of Soul
Should win: Summer of Soul
Shoulda been a contender: The Rescue

Sly and the Family Stone in Summer of Soul. Photograph: AP

Best international feature film

Will win: The Worst Person In the World
Should win: Drive My Car
Shoulda been a contender: Azor

Best production design

Will win: Nightmare Alley
Should win: Nightmare Alley
Shoulda been a contender: Licorice Pizza

Red carpets and banana skins: Jane Campion and the Oscars hopefuls who jeopardised their chances

Best cinematography

Will win: Dune
Should win: Dune
Shoulda been a contender: Last Night in Soho

Best makeup and hairstyling

Will win: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Should win: Cruella
Shoulda been a contender: West Side Story

Best costume design

Will win: West Side Story
Should win: West Side Story
Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight

Best editing

Will win: King Richard
Should win: King Richard
Shoulda been a contender: No Time to Die

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